Cost-of-illness of gastroenteritis caused by rotavirus in Chinese children less than 5 years.

Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) caused by rotavirus (RV) remains a public health issue in China. To accelerate the mass rotavirus vaccination, it is important to inform the policy maker, and the public of the economic burden caused by rotavirus infection. A meta-analysis was conducted applying standardized algorithms. Articles published before January 1, 2023, in English and Chinese were searched through PubMed, CNKI, and WanFang Data. Studies with cost analysis of RV AGE were included. A random-effects model was applied to synthesize the total cost of RV AGE from the societal perspective. A prospective survey aimed to measure the cost of RV AGE was conducted in 2021 and 2022 in Shaoxing city, Zhejiang province, that can represent the developed region. The cost data was applied as deviation indicator, in comparison with the pooled estimate generated from meta-analysis. Totally 286 articles were identified, and eventually 12 studies were included. The pooled total social cost of RV AGE was US$282.1 (95%CI: US$213.4-350.7). The pooled private cost of RV AGE was US$206.4 (95%CI: US$155.2-257.5). RV AGE hospitalized and RV AGE incurred in developed regions caused remarkable higher burden (US$631.2 [95%CI: US$512.6-749.8], and US$333.6 [95%CI: US$234.1-433.2] respectively), compared to RV AGE treated at outpatient, and incurred in less developed regions. Our study demonstrates that RV AGE causes a significant economic burden in China. Given the promising effectiveness and highly cost-effective, introduction of rotavirus vaccines in national immunization programs could substantially reduce the economic burden in China.

Metatranscriptomic assessment of diarrhoeic faeces reveals diverse RNA viruses in rotavirus group A infected piglets and calves from India.

RNA viruses are a major group contributing to emerging infectious diseases and neonatal diarrhoea, causing morbidity and mortality in humans and animals. Hence, the present study investigated the metatranscriptomic-derived faecal RNA virome in rotavirus group A (RVA)-infected diarrheic piglets and calves from India. The viral genomes retrieved belonged to Astroviridae in both species, while Reoviridae and Picornaviridae were found only in piglets. The nearly complete genomes of porcine RVA (2), astrovirus (AstV) (6), enterovirus G (EVG) (2), porcine sapelovirus (PSV) (2), Aichivirus C (1), and porcine teschovirus (PTV) (1) were identified and characterised. In the piglet, AstVs of PAstV2 (MAstV-26) and PAstV4 (MAstV-31) lineages were predominant, followed by porcine RVA, EVG, PSV, Aichivirus C, teschovirus (PTV-17) in decreasing order of sequence reads. In contrast, AstV accounted for the majority of reads in bovines and belonged to MAstV-28 and a proposed MAstV-35. Both RVA G4P[6] strains exhibited prototype Gottfried strains like a genotypic constellation of G4-P[6]-I1-R1-C1-M1-A8-N1-T1-E1-H1. Ten out of eleven genes were of porcine origin, while the VP7 gene clustered with G4-lineage-1, consisting of human strains, suggesting a natural porcine-human reassortant. In the recombination analysis, multiple recombination events were detected in the PAstV4 and PAstV2 genomes, pointing out that these viruses were potential recombinants. Finally, the study finds diverse RNA virome in Indian piglets and calves for the first time, which may have contributed to diarrhoea. In the future, the investigation of RNA virome in animals will help in revealing pathogen diversity in multifactorial diseases, disease outbreaks, monitoring circulating viruses, viral discovery, and evaluation of their zoonotic potential.

Economic Evaluation of Rotavirus Vaccination in Children Aged Under Five Years in South Africa.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Evidence on the economic value of rotavirus vaccines in middle-income countries is limited. We aimed to model the implementation of three vaccines (human rotavirus, live, attenuated, oral vaccine [HRV, 2 doses]; rotavirus vaccine, live, oral, pentavalent [HBRV, 3 doses] and rotavirus vaccine, live attenuated oral, freeze-dried [BRV-PV, 3 doses] presented in 1-dose and 2-dose vials) into the South African National Immunisation Programme. METHODS: Cost and cost-effectiveness analyses were conducted to compare three rotavirus vaccines using a static, deterministic, population model in children aged <5 years in South Africa from country payer and societal perspectives. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of uncertainty in model inputs. RESULTS: The human rotavirus, live, attenuated, oral vaccine (HRV) was associated with cost savings versus HBRV from both perspectives, and versus BRV-PV 1-dose vial from the societal perspective. In the cost-effectiveness analysis, HRV was estimated to avoid 1,107 home care rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) events, 247 medical visits, 35 hospitalisations, and 4 RVGE-related deaths versus HBRV and BRV-PV. This translated to 73 quality-adjusted life years gained. HRV was associated with lower costs versus HBRV from both payer (-$3.9M) and societal (-$11.5M) perspectives and versus BRV-PV 1-dose vial from the societal perspective (-$3.8M), dominating those options. HRV was associated with higher costs versus BRV-PV 1-dose vial from the payer perspective and versus BRV-PV 2­dose vial from both payer and societal perspectives (ICERs: $51,834, $121,171, and $16,717, respectively), exceeding the assumed cost-effectiveness threshold of 0.5 GDP per capita. CONCLUSION: Vaccination with a 2-dose schedule of HRV may lead to better health outcomes for children in South Africa compared with the 3-dose schedule rotavirus vaccines.

Systematic review of rotavirus vaccination cost-effectiveness in high income settings utilising dynamic transmission modelling techniques.

PURPOSE: This systematic review presents cost-effectiveness studies of rotavirus vaccination in high-income settings based on dynamic transmission modelling to inform policy decisions about implementing rotavirus vaccination programmes. METHODS: We searched CEA Registry, MEDLINE, Embase, Health Technology Assessment Database, Scopus, and the National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database for studies published since 2002. Full economic evaluation studies based on dynamic transmission models, focusing on high-income countries, live oral rotavirus vaccine and children ≤ 5 years of age were eligible for inclusion. Included studies were appraised for quality and risk of bias using the Consensus on Health Economic Criteria (CHEC) list and the Philips checklist. The review protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020208406). RESULTS: A total of four economic evaluations were identified. Study settings included England and Wales, France, Norway, and the United States. All studies compared either pentavalent or monovalent rotavirus vaccines to no intervention. All studies were cost-utility analyses that reported incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Included studies consistently concluded that rotavirus vaccination is cost-effective compared with no vaccination relative to the respective country's willingness to pay threshold when herd protection benefits are incorporated in the modelling framework. CONCLUSIONS: Rotavirus vaccination was found to be cost-effective in all identified studies that used dynamic transmission models in high-income settings where child mortality rates due to rotavirus gastroenteritis are close to zero. Previous systematic reviews of economic evaluations considered mostly static models and had less conclusive findings than the current study. This review suggests that modelling choices influence cost-effectiveness results for rotavirus vaccination. Specifically, the review suggests that dynamic transmission models are more likely to account for the full impact of rotavirus vaccination than static models in cost-effectiveness analyses.

Critical Analysis of Economic Evaluation of the Childhood Rotavirus Vaccination in Low- and Lower-Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review.

OBJECTIVES: To identify, critically appraise, and summarize the use of different methods and results of economic evaluations to assess the efficiency of rotavirus vaccination programs in low- and lower-middle-income countries. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed in 3 bibliographic databases, including PubMed, ProQuest, Cochrane Library, and Science Direct (Elsevier) journal website, using key search terms. The study selection process was based on predefined inclusion criteria. The search results were presented using the research flow diagram based on guidelines of PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis). The quality assessment of the selected studies was carried out using the CHEERS (Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards) checklist. RESULTS: A total of 21 studies were selected for review. All the studies, except 1, reported rotavirus vaccination to be a cost-effective intervention and a high-impact strategy to reduce substantial rotavirus disease burden. A decision analysis model was considered appropriate by all studies, although there were variabilities in the analytic horizon used. Lack of country-level data was highlighted by most studies. Multiples of gross domestic product of respective countries were used as a threshold to interpret cost-effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Rotavirus vaccination was found to be cost-efficient in most settings, including complex humanitarian emergencies. The use of thresholds for interpreting incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and lack of local-level disease incidence and cost of illness data remains a point of contention. Lack of reporting probabilistic sensitivity analysis renders limited robustness to study results.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of introducing rotavirus vaccine into immunization program in Zhejiang province, China: A decision tree-Markov model study.

Two RV vaccines have been licensed in Zhejiang province, China, including the pentavalent RotaTeq (RV5) and the monovalent RV vaccine (RV1). This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of RV1 and RV5 to inform the prioritization of provincial immunization program. A decision tree-Markov model was applied to assess the cost-effectiveness of RV1 or RV5 vaccination, compared to no RV vaccination in a 5-year period. The incremental health cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) is averted when each kind of RV vaccine included in the immunization program was estimated. It was also compared to the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 1 time of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita of Zhejiang province in 2021 (16865.70US$). The uncertainties of these results were assessed through the one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. In the base-case scenario, RV5 was the least costly RV vaccine with a cost-effectiveness ratio of 510 US$ per DALY averted. The other RV1 vaccines provided equivalent benefits but at higher costs, with a cost-effectiveness ratio of 4600 US$ per DALY averted. Compared to no vaccination, the probabilities of being cost-effective were 72.3% for RV1 and 88.4% for RV5, at a WTP threshold of 1 time of the GDP per capita. An RV vaccination program using any of the two China-licensed RV vaccines compared to no vaccination would avert 30-70% of outpatient visits, hospitalizations, and deaths from RVGE. RV5 was currently estimated to be the most cost-effective.

Assessment of the Impact of the Rotavirus Vaccine Against Severe Rotaviral Diarrhea in Uzbekistan.

BACKGROUND: This article presents the results of a long-term study of the impact of rotavirus vaccination in Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan is the first country in the Central Asian region to introduce rotavirus vaccination into the national compulsory vaccination calendar. The study aimed to evaluate the impact of rotavirus vaccination on hospitalizations due to all-cause AGE and RVGE in children < 5 years of age in Uzbekistan. METHODS: Detection of rotavirus antigen was performed using Rotavirus-Antigen-IFA-BEST "Vector Best" kit (Novosibirsk, Russia). RESULTS: The total of 20,128 children under 5 years of age were hospitalized in sentinel hospitals with a diagnosis of acute gastroenteritis during the study period (2019-2020). Of this number of children, 4481 children (22.2%) were included in the study. Of 4481 children, 367 (8.2%) children tested positive for rotavirus. In our study, decrease in the rotavirus rate was noted in all age groups. The peak of rotavirus positivity occurred in the months of January and February. CONCLUSION: The average rotavirus-positive rate in the period (2019-2020) was 8.2% and the absolute percentage decrease was 18.1% compared to the pre-vaccination period (2005-2009) where the rotavirus-positive rate was 26.3%. The percentage of prevented cases averaged 68.8%.

Cost-effectiveness analysis measuring the total costs against the health benefits of three different rotavirus vaccines for Mexico.

Rotavirus (RV) infection causes acute rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) in infants. Safe and effective RV vaccines are available, of which Mexico has included one in its national immunization program (NIP) since 2007. Health outcome gains, expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and cost improvements are important additional factors for the selection of a NIP vaccine. These two factors were analyzed here for Mexico over one year implementing three RV vaccines: 2-dose Rotarix (HRV), versus 3-dose RotaTeq (HBRV), and 3-dose Rotasiil (BRV-PV), presented in a 1-dose or 2-dose vial). HRV would annually result in discounted QALY gains of 263 extra years compared with the other vaccines by averting an extra 24,022 homecare cases, 10,779 medical visits, 392 hospitalizations, and 12 deaths. From a payer's perspective and compared with HRV, BRV-PV 2-dose vial and BRV-PV 1-dose vial would annually result in $13,548,179 and $4,633,957 net savings, respectively, while HBRV would result in $3,403,309 extra costs. The societal perspective may also show savings compared with HRV for BRV-PV 2-dose vial of $4,875,860, while BRV-PV 1-dose vial and HBRV may show extra costs of $4,038,363 and $12,075,629 respectively. HRV and HBRV were both approved in Mexico, with HRV requiring less investment than HBRV with higher QALY gains and cost savings. The HRV vaccine produced those higher health gains due to its earlier protection and greater coverage achieved after its schedule completion with two doses only, providing full protection at four months of age instead of longer periods for the other vaccines.

Rotavirus (RV) infection causes acute diarrhea in infants and can be life-threatening. Several safe and effective vaccines against RV and its complications exist. For many governments choosing vaccines for national immunization programs, total costs or savings and health gains are important factors in the selection process. We compared the costs and health benefits of three RV vaccines for Mexico: HRV, HBRV, and BRV-PV, that have different dosing schedules: two doses for HRV and three doses for HBRV and BRV-PV. HRV is currently part of the national immunization program in Mexico. HRV would result in more health benefits as it incurs fewer RV-related cases, medical visits, hospitalizations, and infant deaths than the other vaccines due to its early protection achieved after only two doses to complete its schedule. However, from a payer's perspective, the least expensive vaccine was BRV-PV, while HRV was less expensive than HBRV. From a societal perspective, also accounting for families' costs and loss in income due to an infant's RV disease, and the families' costs and loss in income when accompanying the infant to the vaccination center, the HRV vaccine was less expensive than HBRV and BRV-PV presented in a 1-dose vial, while more expensive than BRV-PV presented in a 2-dose vial. HRV and HBRV are both approved in Mexico, although HBRV requires a greater investment at lower health benefits than HRV, from both a payer's and a societal perspective. A 2-dose vaccination scheme is an important asset for the economic value of this vaccination program.

Economic assessment of childhood rotavirus vaccination in Bangladesh.

Rotavirus is one of the most highly prevalent communicable diseases in Bangladesh. The objective of this study is to evaluate the benefit-cost ratio of childhood rotavirus vaccination program in Bangladesh. A spreadsheet-based model was used to estimate the benefit and cost of a nationwide universal rotavirus vaccination program against rotavirus infections among under-five children in Bangladesh. A benefit-cost analysis was performed to evaluate a universal vaccination program compared with a status quo. Data from various published vaccination-related studies and public reports were used. The introduction of a childhood rotavirus vaccination program in Bangladesh for 14.78 million under-five children is projected to prevent approximately 1.54 million rotavirus cases during the first 2 years including 0.7 million severe rotavirus infections. This study shows that among the WHO-prequalified rotavirus vaccines, the net societal benefit is the highest if the vaccination program adopts ROTAVAC® rather than Rotarix® or ROTASIIL®. For every dollar invested in the outreach-based ROTAVAC® vaccination program, society would gain $2.03 in return, while in a facility-based vaccination program, society would gain up to about $2.2. The findings of this study demonstrate that a universal childhood rotavirus vaccination program is a cost-beneficial investment of public money. Thus, the government should consider the introduction of rotavirus vaccination in their Expanded Program on Immunization since the rotavirus immunization policy in Bangladesh will be economically justifiable.

Drivers of Decline in Diarrhea Mortality Between GEMS and VIDA Studies.

BACKGROUND: Statistical modeling suggests that decreasing diarrhea-associated mortality rates in recent decades are largely attributed to improved case management, rotavirus vaccine, and economic development. METHODS: We examined data collected in 2 multisite population-based diarrhea case-control studies, both conducted in The Gambia, Kenya, and Mali: the Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS; 2008-2011) and Vaccine Impact on Diarrhea in Africa (VIDA; 2015-2018). Population-level diarrhea mortality and risk factor prevalence, estimated using these study data, were used to calculate the attribution of risk factors and interventions for diarrhea mortality using a counterfactual framework. We performed a decomposition of the effects of the changes in exposure to each risk factor between GEMS and VIDA on diarrhea mortality for each site. RESULTS: Diarrhea mortality among children under 5 in our African sites decreased by 65.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -80.0%, -45.0%) from GEMS to VIDA. Kenya and Mali had large relative declines in diarrhea mortality between the 2 periods with 85.9% (95% CI: -95.1%, -71.5%) and 78.0% (95% CI: -96.0%, 36.3%) reductions, respectively. Among the risk factors considered, the largest declines in diarrhea mortality between the 2 study periods were attributed to reduction in childhood wasting (27.2%; 95% CI: -39.3%, -16.8%) and an increased rotavirus vaccine coverage (23.1%; 95% CI: -28.4%, -19.4%), zinc for diarrhea treatment (12.1%; 95% CI: -16.0%, -8.9%), and oral rehydration salts (ORS) for diarrhea treatment (10.2%). CONCLUSIONS: The VIDA study sites demonstrated exceptional reduction in diarrhea mortality over the last decade. Site-specific differences highlight an opportunity for implementation science in collaboration with policymakers to improve the equitable coverage of these interventions globally.

RT-PCR-based assessment of the SD Bioline Rota/Adeno Antigen-based test in infants with and without diarrhea.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus A (RVA) infections remain a major cause of severe acute diarrhea affecting children worldwide. To date, rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) are widely used to detect RVA. However, paediatricians question whether the RDT can still detect the virus accurately. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the performance of the rapid rotavirus test in comparison to the one-step RT-qPCR method. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in Lambaréné, Gabon, from April 2018 to November 2019. Stool samples were collected from children under 5 years of age with diarrhoea or a history of diarrhoea within the last 24 h, and from asymptomatic children from the same communities. All stool samples were processed and analysed using the SD BIOLINE Rota/Adeno Ag RDT against a quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR), which is considered the gold standard. RESULTS: For a total of 218 collected stool samples, the overall sensitivity of the RDT was 46.46% (confidence interval (CI) 36.38-56.77), with a specificity of 96.64% (CI 91.62-99.08) compared to one-step RT-qPCR. After confirming the presence or absence of RVA gastroenteritis, the RDT showed suitable results in detecting rotavirus A-associated disease, with a 91% concordance with the RT-qPCR. Furthermore, the performance of this test varied when correlated with seasonality, symptoms, and rotavirus genotype. CONCLUSION: This RDT showed high sensitivity and was suitable for the detection of RVA in patients with RVA gastroenteritis, although some asymptomatic RVA shedding was missed by RT-qPCR. It could be a useful diagnostic tool, especially in low-income countries.

Immunogenicity of inactivated rotavirus in rhesus monkey, and assessment of immunologic mechanisms.

Rotavirus is one of the main pathogens causing severe diarrhea in infants and young children < 5 years of age. The development of the next-generation rotavirus vaccine is of great significance for preventing rotavirus infection and reducing severe mortality. The current study aimed to develop and evaluate the immunogenicity of inactivated rotavirus vaccine (IRV) in rhesus monkeys. Monkeys received two or three IRV injections intramuscularly at a 4-week interval. Neutralizing antibodies, cellular immunity, PBMC gene expression profiling, and immune persistence were evaluated. Three-dose immunization of IRV induced a higher level of neutralizing, IgG and IgA antibodies compared to two-dose immunization. IRV induced IFN-γ secretion to mediate cellular immune responses, including robust pro-inflammatory and antiviral responses. Chemokine-mediated signaling pathways and immune response were broadly activated by IRV injection. The IRV-induced neutralizing antibodies resulting from two doses returned to baseline levels 20 weeks after full immunization, while those resulting from three doses returned to baseline levels 44 weeks after full immunization. Increasing immunization dose and injection number will help to improve IRV immunogenicity and neutralizing antibody persistence.

The economic impact of the introduction of universal rotavirus vaccination on rotavirus gastroenteritis related hospitalisations in children in Ireland.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE), a vaccine preventable disease, remains a common cause of severe gastroenteritis in children globally. Ireland introduced the universal rotavirus vaccination to the national immunisation programme in 2016. In this paper the economic impact on RVGE related hospitalisations amongst children under 5 years is examined. METHODS: Using national data from all Irish public hospitals, an Interrupted Times Series Analysis (ITSA) compares RVGE hospitalisations amongst children under 5 years, pre- and post-vaccine introduction. Costs are estimated and ITSA results are compared to the counterfactual to estimate the economic impact of the vaccine. A probit model examines patient characteristics pre- and post-vaccine introduction. RESULTS: Vaccine introduction coincided with lowered RVGE related hospitalisations. While this effect was delayed (1 year) there is evidence of a sustained impact. RVGE patients' post-vaccine introduction were likely to be over 2 years (p = 0.001) and length of stay was lower on average (p = 0.095). The counterfactual analysis revealed 492 RVGE hospitalisations were avoided on average annually since the introduction of the vaccine. This has an estimated economic value of €0.92 million per annum. CONCLUSIONS: Following the introduction of the rotavirus vaccine in Ireland, hospitalisations for RVGE decreased significantly and those hospitalised were older and with a reduced length of stay on average. This has the potential for significant cost savings for the Irish healthcare system.

Parental preferences for rotavirus vaccination for their children under 5 years old in China: A discrete choice experiment.

Rotavirus vaccination is the most effective means to prevent rotavirus gastroenteritis, but its coverage in China is not ideal. We aimed to explore parental preferences for rotavirus vaccination for their children under 5years old to improve vaccination coverage. A Discrete Choice Experiment was conducted online on 415 parents with at least one child under 5years old in 3 cities. Five attributes including vaccine effectiveness, protection duration, risk of mild side-effects, out-of-pocket costs, and time required for vaccination were identified. Each attribute was set at three levels. Mixed-logit models were used to measure parental preferences and the relative importance of vaccine attributes. The optimal vaccination strategy was also explored. 359 samples were included in the analysis. The impacts of the vaccine attribute levels on vaccine choice were all statistically significant (p < .01), except for 1-hour vaccination time. The risk of mild side-effects was the most important factor influencing vaccination. The time required for vaccination was the least important attribute. The largest increase in vaccination uptake (74.45%) occurred with decreased the vaccine risk of mild side-effects from 1/10 to 1/50. The predicted vaccination uptake of the optimal vaccination scenario was 91.79%. When deciding about vaccination, parents preferred the rotavirus vaccination with lower risk of mild side-effects, higher effectiveness, longer protection duration, 2-hour vaccination time and lower cost. The authorities should support enterprises to develop vaccines with lower side-effects, higher effectiveness and longer protection duration in the future. We call for appropriate government subsidies for the rotavirus vaccine.

Cost-benefit analysis of rotavirus vaccine included in the national immunization program in China.

BACKGROUND: Globally, rotavirus is a leading cause of severe acute gastroenteritis among children aged under 5 years and has a significant economic cost. Currently, rotavirus vaccines are only included in the private market in China. This study aimed to assess the cost-benefit of including a three-dose rotavirus vaccine in China's National Immunization Program (NIP). METHODS: A decision tree Markov model was constructed to evaluate the cost-benefit of universal immunization with three doses of rotavirus vaccine for a 2019 birth cohort of Chinese children. Costs of the universal vaccination program included vaccine price, vaccine wastage, vaccine administration, and indirect costs. All costs were discounted at 3 % per year and converted from 2019 Chinese Yuan to 2019 USD using the 2019 exchange rate. RESULTS: For the 2019 birth cohort of Chinese infants, inclusion of RotaTeq in NIP was estimated to prevent 5,677,911 cases of rotavirus infection, with net savings of $1.1 billion in total societal costs. A cost of $17.55 per vaccine dose was the threshold at which inclusion of rotavirus vaccine in NIP would be cost-saving. CONCLUSIONS: Introducing rotavirus vaccine into the China NIP would have significant costs from a societal perspective at the current private market price.

Cost, health impacts and cost effectiveness of iceless refrigeration in India's last-mile vaccine cold chain delivery.

BACKGROUND: Compared with ice-based vaccine carriers (IBVCs), iceless vaccine carrier (ILVC) last-mile delivery could optimize vaccine effectiveness by reducing spoilage. We estimated ILVC-associated spoilage costs averted and cost effectiveness. METHODS: IBVC vaccine spoilage costs were estimated for six vaccines. ILVC incremental costs were based on yearly ILVC cost over total doses. Cost effectiveness was estimated via Markov modeling of rotavirus vaccine. RESULTS: The spoilage cost using IBVCs was US$9 603 294. Using ILVCs, the incremental cost per vaccine dose was US$0.026, the cost-benefit ratio was 0.28, the number of averted disability-adjusted life years was 0.03 per child and there was a saving of US$0.80 per child vaccinated. CONCLUSIONS: ILVCs may bring cost savings and health gains compared with IBVCs.

The Challenges and Opportunities of Next-Generation Rotavirus Vaccines: Summary of an Expert Meeting with Vaccine Developers.

The 2nd Next Generation Rotavirus Vaccine Developers Meeting, sponsored by PATH and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, was held in London, UK (7-8 June 2022), and attended by vaccine developers and researchers to discuss advancements in the development of next-generation rotavirus vaccines and to consider issues surrounding vaccine acceptability, introduction, and uptake. Presentations included updates on rotavirus disease burden, the impact of currently licensed oral vaccines, various platforms and approaches for next generation rotavirus vaccines, strategies for combination pediatric vaccines, and the value proposition for novel parenteral rotavirus vaccines. This report summarizes the information shared at the convening and poses various topics worthy of further exploration.

Predicting the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccination in 112 countries from 2006 to 2034: A transmission modeling analysis.

Rotavirus vaccination has been shown to reduce rotavirus burden in many countries, but the long-term magnitude of vaccine impacts is unclear, particularly in low-income countries. We use a transmission model to estimate the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccination on deaths and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) from 2006 to 2034 for 112 low- and middle-income countries. We also explore the predicted effectiveness of a one- vs two- dose series and the relative contribution of direct vs indirect effects to overall impacts. To validate the model, we compare predicted percent reductions in severe rotavirus cases with the percent reduction in rotavirus positivity among gastroenteritis hospital admissions for 10 countries with pre- and post-vaccine introduction data. We estimate that vaccination would reduce deaths from rotavirus by 49.1 % (95 % UI: 46.6-54.3 %) by 2034 under realistic coverage scenarios, compared to a scenario without vaccination. Most of this benefit is due to direct benefit to vaccinated individuals (explaining 69-97 % of the overall impact), but indirect protection also appears to enhance impacts. We find that a one-dose schedule would only be about 57 % as effective as a two-dose schedule 12 years after vaccine introduction. Our model closely reproduced observed reductions in rotavirus positivity in the first few years after vaccine introduction in select countries. Rotavirus vaccination is likely to have a substantial impact on rotavirus gastroenteritis and its mortality burden. To sustain this benefit, the complete series of doses is needed.

Assessment of seasonality of rotavirus PCR detection in swine from Ontario and Quebec between 2016-2020 using submissions to a diagnostic laboratory.

The goal of this study was to determine if seasonality of rotavirus A, B, and C infection is present in Ontario and Quebec swine herds by investigating submissions to a diagnostic laboratory. Samples (N = 1557) within 755 case submissions from Canadian swine herds between 2016 and 2020 were tested for rotaviruses A, B, and C using a real-time polymerase-chain reaction assay and described. Data from Ontario and Quebec were additionally analyzed using boxplots, 6-week rolling averages, time-series decomposition, and negative binomial regression models. Percentage positivity of submissions for rotaviruses A, B, and C were discovered to be highest in nursery/weaner (n = 100, 94.0%, 60.0%, 80.0%) and grower/finisher (n = 13, 84.6%, 46.2%, 61.5%) pigs and lowest in gilt/sow (n = 45, 68.9%, 20.0%, 40.0%) and suckling pigs (n = 102, 67.6%, 10.8%, 38.2%), respectively. The most common combination of rotavirus at the sample level was AC (n = 252, 17%) and ABC (n = 175, 23.2%) at the submission level. Percent positivity for rotavirus A, B, and C across all Canadian provinces included in the study were 69.9%, 32.6%, and 53.1%, respectively. Descriptive analysis suggested little to no evidence of seasonal patterns, although a spike in November was seen in the monthly total submissions and monthly total positive submissions. Statistically, the overall month effect could not be identified as statistically significant (P > 0.05) for any of the evaluated submission counts. Overall, there was no evidence supporting seasonality of rotavirus within Ontario and Quebec swine herds between 2016 and 2020.

Le but de cette étude était de déterminer si la saisonnalité de l'infection à rotavirus A, B et C est présente dans les troupeaux de porcs de l'Ontario et du Québec en examinant les soumissions à un laboratoire de diagnostic. Des échantillons (N = 1557) de 755 cas soumis de troupeaux de porcs canadiens entre 2016 et 2020 ont été testés pour les rotavirus A, B et C à l'aide d'un test de réaction d'amplification en chaîne par polymérase en temps réel et décrits. Les données de l'Ontario et du Québec ont également été analysées à l'aide de diagrammes en boîte, de moyennes mobiles sur 6 semaines, d'une décomposition de séries chronologiques et de modèles de régression binomiale négative. On a découvert que le pourcentage de positivité des soumissions pour les rotavirus A, B et C étaient le plus élevé en pouponnière/sevrage (n = 100, 94,0 %, 60,0 %, 80,0 %) et en croissance/engraissement (n = 13, 84,6 %, 46,2 %, 61,5 %) des porcs et le plus bas chez les cochettes/truies (n = 45, 68,9 %, 20,0 %, 40,0 %) et les porcs à la mamelle (n = 102, 67,6 %, 10,8 %, 38,2 %), respectivement. La combinaison la plus courante de rotavirus au niveau de l'échantillon était AC (n = 252, 17 %) et ABC (n = 175, 23,2 %) au niveau de la soumission. Les pourcentages de positivité pour les rotavirus A, B et C dans toutes les provinces canadiennes incluses dans l'étude étaient de 69,9 %, 32,6 % et 53,1 %, respectivement. L'analyse descriptive a suggéré peu ou pas de preuves de tendances saisonnières, bien qu'un pic en novembre ait été observé dans les soumissions totales mensuelles et les soumissions positives totales mensuelles. Statistiquement, l'effet mensuel global n'a pu être identifié comme statistiquement significatif (P > 0,05) pour aucun des nombres de soumissions évalués. Dans l'ensemble, il n'y avait aucune preuve à l'appui de la saisonnalité du rotavirus dans les troupeaux de porcs de l'Ontario et du Québec entre 2016 et 2020.(Traduit par Docteur Serge Messier).

Impact and cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in Niger: a modelling study evaluating alternative rotavirus vaccines.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alternative rotavirus vaccines in Niger, using UNIVAC, a proportionate outcomes model. SETTING: The study leverages global, regional and local data to inform cost-effectiveness modelling. Local data were collected as part of a clinical trial taking place in the Madarounfa district, Maradi region, Niger. PARTICIPANTS: The study models impact of infants vaccination on rotavirus gastroenteritis in children under 5 years of age. INTERVENTIONS: We compared the use of ROTARIX (GlaxoSmithKline, Belgium), ROTAVAC (Bharat Biotech, India) and ROTASIIL (Serum Institute, India) to no vaccination and to each other over a 10-year period starting in 2021. RESULTS: We estimated that ROTARIX, ROTAVAC and ROTASIIL would each prevent 13 million cases and 20 000 deaths of children under 5 years over a 10-year period in Niger. Compared with no vaccination, the cost to avert a disability-adjusted life-year was US$146 with ROTARIX, US$107 with ROTASIIL and US$76 with ROTAVAC from the government perspective. ROTAVAC dominated ROTARIX and ROTASIIL (eg, provided similar or higher benefits at a lower cost) and had 90% chance to be cost-effective at a US$100 willingness-to-pay threshold. CONCLUSIONS: This study can inform decision-making around rotavirus vaccination policy in Niger, demonstrating that ROTAVAC is likely the most cost-effective option. Alternative products (ROTASIIL and ROTARIX) may also be considered by decision-makers if they are priced more competitively, or if their cold chain requirements could bring additional economic benefits.